Section 1.1: The Importance of Accessing Space

As highlighted in a previous article, "Your Daily Satellites Routine," the role of space has evolved significantly. Satellites have transitioned from being optional to essential components of our infrastructure. The importance of reaching space is growing, not only for the exploration of outer space but also for direct benefits here on Earth.

Rockets remain the sole means of launching satellites into orbit. However, it's crucial to recognize that various satellites serve different purposes and require specific orbits, often launching from diverse countries. Consequently, the choice of launch provider is influenced by the satellite's mission, size, and weight, along with any strategic considerations related to its launch location.

The space industry is expanding rapidly, as noted by Deloitte. The demand for space-based data continues to rise, necessitating an increase in satellite deployments and, consequently, more rockets. In short, rockets are no longer a luxury; they are an essential requirement for modern operations.

Section 1.2: Misconceptions About Rocket Failures

There is a common misunderstanding about rocket failure rates. Media coverage tends to focus more on failures than successes, leading to the impression that launches frequently go awry. The recent failure of Virgin Orbit's inaugural UK launch and the explosions seen during Starship and Falcon 9 tests certainly contribute to this narrative. Similarly, the KAIROS rocket from Japan met its demise shortly after liftoff.

However, it's essential to consider that many new rockets are currently under development, resulting in an increased number of inaugural flights—and, unfortunately, a higher incidence of failures. The actual failure rate for rockets is around 4%, or one in every 25 launches, which is considerably lower than public perception suggests.

The initial flights of new rockets often experience higher failure rates due to their complexity. Even with meticulous engineering, unforeseen factors in one subsystem can jeopardize the entire mission. Research from Technische Universität Braunschweig in Germany indicates that approximately 54% of rocket failures over the past 15 years were due to engine malfunctions, while 18% were linked to guidance and attitude control issues, and another 18% to separation mechanisms.

Over time, established rockets demonstrate remarkable reliability. For instance, the Ariane 5 boasts a 96% success rate across its 20-year operational history and 117 launches.

Conclusion: The Necessity of Rocket Development

Creating rockets is undoubtedly a challenging venture, carrying both technical and financial risks. However, for organizations and nations seeking access to the increasingly vital realm of Earth orbit, this investment is indispensable. Without the capability to launch into space, one becomes reliant on others for access to orbit. The development of launch vehicles is a complex and lengthy process, and as strategic objectives become more ambitious, those who have not invested in space transportation today may find themselves struggling to keep pace.